DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0800 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2014 VALID 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO...AND WEST/SOUTHWEST TEXAS. ...EASTERN NM AND WEST/SOUTHWEST TX... A LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF SEVERE TSTMS/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING AT MID-EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN/STOCKTON PLATEAU/EDWARDS PLATEAU OF SOUTHWEST TX. BOUTS OF LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME TORNADO RISK WILL CONTINUE MAINLY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS THIS EVENING. FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM DETAILS...SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 686. CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW IS OTHERWISE STEADILY PROGRESSING SOUTH/SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST TX AND SOUTHEAST NM THIS EVENING. AN INCREASINGLY STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET AND AN EJECTING IMPULSE/JET STREAK ON THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST PERIPHERY OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES UPPER LOW MAY INSPIRE ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE TSTM DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN NM INTO WEST/SOUTHWEST TX. BOUTS OF SEVERE HAIL WOULD BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN...AS A RELATIVELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS /SHALLOW OUTFLOW OUTSIDE/ ACROSS THE REGION AS SAMPLED PER THE 00Z MIDLAND OBSERVED SOUNDING.
dimanche 25 mai 2014
May 25, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
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