http://www.estofex.org/ Level 1

... NW Russia ...

A short-wave trough with frontal system rapidly translates across the level 1 area. Several hundreds of MLCAPE overlaps with 25 m/s of deep layer shear and around 10 m/s of LL shear. Combined with around 200 m^2/s^2 of SREH, conditions will become favorable for well organized severe storms, including supercells. Those will be capable of producing tornadoes and severe wind gusts.European Storm Forecast Experiment