Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Mon 01 Jul 2013 09:00 to Tue 02 Jul 2013 06:00 UTC
Issued: Mon 01 Jul 2013 09:56
Forecaster: PISTOTNIK
Valid: Mon 01 Jul 2013 09:00 to Tue 02 Jul 2013 06:00 UTC
Issued: Mon 01 Jul 2013 09:56
Forecaster: PISTOTNIK
A level 1 was issued for Estonia and E Latvia for severe wind gusts.
SYNOPSIS
A change in the large-scale weather pattern is underway: The disintegrating European long-wave trough and the deep warm air advection regime over far Eastern Europe finally give way to a more zonal flow which enters the scene from the Northern Atlantic. The leading feature of this change is a pronounced short-wave trough which moves across the Baltics into Southern Finland, while it gets an increasing negative tilt as it turns into the remnants of the Southerly flow over Northeastern Europe. A second short-wave trough moves from the British Isles into Denmark and Northern Germany. However, its amplitude and the strength of the attendant frontal system are dampened by broad warm air advection which follows up from the West. Quiescent conditions in a warm to hot air mass previal across the Mediterranean region.
With this change, the focus for deep convection starts to leave Eastern Europe and to disperse across the rest of the continent again. Various regions will see moderate thunderstorm activity on Monday with a low-end severe weather threat.
SYNOPSIS
A change in the large-scale weather pattern is underway: The disintegrating European long-wave trough and the deep warm air advection regime over far Eastern Europe finally give way to a more zonal flow which enters the scene from the Northern Atlantic. The leading feature of this change is a pronounced short-wave trough which moves across the Baltics into Southern Finland, while it gets an increasing negative tilt as it turns into the remnants of the Southerly flow over Northeastern Europe. A second short-wave trough moves from the British Isles into Denmark and Northern Germany. However, its amplitude and the strength of the attendant frontal system are dampened by broad warm air advection which follows up from the West. Quiescent conditions in a warm to hot air mass previal across the Mediterranean region.
With this change, the focus for deep convection starts to leave Eastern Europe and to disperse across the rest of the continent again. Various regions will see moderate thunderstorm activity on Monday with a low-end severe weather threat.
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