vendredi 7 février 2014

European Storm Forecast Experiment

Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Sat 08 Feb 2014 06:00 to Sun 09 Feb 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Fri 07 Feb 2014 22:51
Forecaster: PISTOTNIK
A level 1 was issued for parts of Ireland, the UK, France and the Northern Spanish coast for severe convective wind gusts and to a lesser extent for tornadoes.

A level 1 was issued for NW Italy for excessive convective precipitation.


An increasing Westerly flow has spread over Europe and floods most of the continent with mild Atlantic air. A first short wave trough and a decaying occlusion initially situated from the Baltic Sea to Italy proceed into Eastern Europe, finally breaking the cold spell there.
Another vigorous Atlantic cyclone installs itself over the British Isles. It makes landfall in Ireland with a minimum pressure around 940 hPa at the beginning of the forecast period and moves into Scotland while it starts to fill up. Its occluding frontal system and the attendant upper-level trough will cross Western and Central Europe, and the tail of the cold front will enter the Western Mediterranean region overnight.

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