mardi 4 mars 2014

European Storm Forecast Experiment

Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Wed 05 Mar 2014 06:00 to Thu 06 Mar 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Wed 05 Mar 2014 00:07
Forecaster: PUCIK
A level 1 was issued for parts of Turkey mainly for excessive precipitation and to the lesser degree for tornadoes and marginally large hail.


As in the previous forecast period, the major macro-synoptic scale feature will be a large cyclonic vortex centered over the Mediterranean. It is expected to slowly fill in during the day, moving slightly towards the east. A ridge will amplify from the Atlantic to Western Europe while most of Central and Eastern Europe will remain under weak geopotential gradients. Dry and stable low-level airmass will preclude any pronounced risk of DMC over much of Europe. The exception being the Central and Eastern Mediterranean - here, cold mid-level temperatures result in quite steep lapse rates and marginal CAPE values. An isolated waterspout or small hail events might occur with storms in this area.

Aucun commentaire:

Enregistrer un commentaire