DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1258 AM CDT WED APR 02 2014 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE LOW-MID MS VALLEY AND WRN TN VALLEY... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ELSEWHERE FROM ERN PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS THROUGH THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY...TN VALLEY AND OH VALLEY... POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS THURSDAY WITH DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY FROM THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEYS INTO THE WRN TN AND OH VALLEYS. ...SYNOPSIS... MODELS SOLUTIONS HAVE CONVERGED ON TIMING...AMPLITUDE AND GENERAL CHARACTER OF A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL EJECT NEWD THROUGH THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY ON THURSDAY. SFC LOW WILL DEEPEN AS IT DEVELOPS NEWD THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING BENEATH CORRIDOR OF INCREASING UPPER DIVERGENCE. BY THURSDAY MORNING A COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY EXTEND FROM THE SFC LOW SITUATED OVER SERN KS SWWD THROUGH NWRN OK AND NWRN TX. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD OVERTAKING THE DRYLINE SITUATED ACROSS OK AND TX. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD THE FRONT SHOULD STRETCH FROM A SURFACE LOW OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AREA SWWD THROUGH WRN TN...LA AND THE TX COASTAL AREA. WARM FRONT EXTENDING EWD FROM THE LOW THROUGH CNTRL/NRN MO INTO THE OH VALLEY EARLY THURSDAY WILL LIFT SLOWLY NWD DURING THE DAY.
mercredi 2 avril 2014
0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
SPC AC 020558
Inscription à :
Publier les commentaires (Atom)
Aucun commentaire:
Enregistrer un commentaire