dimanche 27 avril 2014

Apr 27, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 2
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0120 AM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

   ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM EXTREME ERN KS...ERN
   OK...MUCH OF MO...AR...EXTREME NERN TX...WRN TN AND NWRN MS...

   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER ERN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
   AND SRN PLAINS THROUGH MUCH OF THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY AND WRN TN
   VALLEY...

   CORRECTED FOR TEXT IN LAST PARAGRAPH...CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC

   ...SUMMARY...
   NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES...VERY
   LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
   MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THE
   ARK-LA-TEX INTO ARKANSAS...WESTERN TENNESSEE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL
   MISSOURI AND ERN KS. A SECONDARY THREAT AREA WILL BE FROM EASTERN
   NEBRASKA INTO IOWA...AND STORMS DEVELOPING IN THIS REGION DURING THE
   DAY WILL ALSO LIKELY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND SEVERAL TORNADOES.

   ...SYNOPSIS...

   VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS ERN WRN KS BY 12Z
   SUNDAY AND LIFT NEWD INTO NEB BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
   A SECONDARY IMPULSE/JET MAX WILL ADVANCE THROUGH THE BASE OF THE
   UPPER TROUGH AND THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS...REACHING THE LOWER MS
   VALLEY REGION SUNDAY EVENING. AT THE SFC AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
   WILL DEEPEN AND LIFT NWD INTO NEB IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE PRIMARY
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WHILE A PACIFIC FRONT/DRYLINE SURGES EWD THROUGH
   THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS...REACHING THE MID MS VALLEY REGION BY
   EVENING. A WARM FRONT WILL EXTEND EWD FROM THE LOW AND LIFT NWD
   THROUGH NEB AND IA.

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