Apr 3, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  

   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1258 AM CDT THU APR 03 2014

   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR AR...CNTRL/S MO...S IL...W
   KY/TN...NW MS...FAR N LA...

   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE WRN
   GULF COAST...

   ...SWATHS OF SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE
   THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE DESERT SW WILL EJECT NEWD TOWARDS
   THE UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH EARLY FRI. A SUBTLE LEAD IMPULSE EVIDENT
   OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY WILL PRECEDE THIS
   TROUGH AND SHOULD RACE NEWD TOWARDS THE OH VALLEY. AS THE FORMER
   TROUGH TAKES ON A NEUTRAL TO SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE TILT DURING THE LAST
   HALF OF THE PERIOD...CYCLOGENESIS WILL ENSUE ALONG A
   QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEAR KANSAS CITY TO THE QUAD CITIES.
   ATTENDANT W/E-ORIENTED WARM FRONT SHOULD PUSH NWD ACROSS THE
   MIDWEST...BUT ITS ADVANCEMENT WILL LIKELY BE SLOWED BY ABUNDANT
   CONVECTION EARLY IN THE PERIOD. FARTHER W...A DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD
   ACROSS ERN OK INTO S-CNTRL TX....BEING PROGRESSIVELY OVERTAKEN FROM
   THE N BY A COLD FRONT. THIS COLD FRONT WILL ACCELERATE E/S THU NIGHT
   AND SHOULD REACH THE MID-MS VALLEY TO WRN GULF COAST BY 12Z/FRI.