vendredi 4 avril 2014

European Storm Forecast Experiment

Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Sat 05 Apr 2014 06:00 to Sun 06 Apr 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Fri 04 Apr 2014 22:37
Forecaster: TUSCHY
A level 1 was issued for Croatia and parts of Slovenia/SW Hungary mainly for excessive rain.

A level 1 was issued for parts of Greece, Macedonia and W-Bulgaria mainly for large hail and excessive rain. Strong to isolated severe wind gusts will be also possible on an isolated scale.

A level 1 was issued for parts of S-Italy mainly for excessive rain.


A split-flow pattern continues over Europe as ridge-over-low forces jets to swerve to N-Europe and N-Africa. Upstream of a progressive and pronounced trough over Russia, a gradual increase in mid-level heights forces a cut-off over the CNTRL Mediterranean to stay put. Brisk westerlies start to affect far W-Europe.

At the surface, a moist SE-erly flow affects the Balkan States along a decaying occlusion, while latest MIMIC data confirms a plume of modified subtropical air (TPW aoa 30 mm) to spread east, affecting the Iberian Peninsula, W-France and UK/Ireland during the forecast.

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