dimanche 25 mai 2014

May 25, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook


   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0800 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2014

   VALID 250100Z - 251200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT MAINLY ACROSS THE
   SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW
   MEXICO...AND WEST/SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

   ...EASTERN NM AND WEST/SOUTHWEST TX...
   A LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF SEVERE TSTMS/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS ARE
   ONGOING AT MID-EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN/STOCKTON
   PLATEAU/EDWARDS PLATEAU OF SOUTHWEST TX. BOUTS OF LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY
   DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME TORNADO RISK WILL CONTINUE MAINLY OVER THE
   NEXT FEW HOURS THIS EVENING. FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM DETAILS...SEE
   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 686.

   CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW IS OTHERWISE STEADILY PROGRESSING
   SOUTH/SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST TX AND SOUTHEAST NM THIS
   EVENING. AN INCREASINGLY STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET AND AN
   EJECTING IMPULSE/JET STREAK ON THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST PERIPHERY OF THE
   SOUTHERN ROCKIES UPPER LOW MAY INSPIRE ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE TSTM
   DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN NM INTO WEST/SOUTHWEST TX. BOUTS
   OF SEVERE HAIL WOULD BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN...AS A RELATIVELY
   UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS /SHALLOW OUTFLOW OUTSIDE/ ACROSS THE
   REGION AS SAMPLED PER THE 00Z MIDLAND OBSERVED SOUNDING.

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