Storm Forecast Valid: Wed 18 Jun 2014 06:00 to Thu 19 Jun 2014 06:00 UTC Issued: Wed 18 Jun 2014 06:04 Forecaster: PUCIK / TASZAREK
A level 2 was issued for Southern Serbia, Macedonia and Bulgaria mainly for large hail, severe wind gusts and excessive precipitation.
A level 1 was issued for Southern Italy, Adriatics and southern Balkans mainly for large hail, severe wind gusts and excessive precipitation.
A level 1 was issued for Central Italy mainly for excessive precipitation.
A level 1 was issued for Northeastern Spain mainly for large hail and severe wind gusts.
A level 1 was issued for Tunisia mainly for large hail and severe wind gusts.
An active weather pattern for the southern part of Europe is forecast to continue with the persistent and almost quasi-stationary positively-tilted trough that will be centered over the Gulf of Lyon. At its southern flank, strong mid tropospheric westerly to southwesterly flow is simulated with a short-wave impulse moving from Italy towards Balkans during the day. Southwestern flow will advecting a plume of EML from N Africa towards Greece and S Balkans. To the north, a deep low filled with cold air will remain over NW Russia. Between this feature and an extensive ridge over the Atlantic, prevailing NW-ly, rather dry, flow will prevent DMC activity over much of Europe. Three exceptions being: A/ the Eastern Mediterranean and Balkans with good overlap of steep lapse rates and abundant low-level moisture B/ France and parts of Germany, placed under a cool mid-level temperatures of the aforementioned trough. C/ Ahead of the low over Russia, along and ahead of the cold front.