dimanche 1 juin 2014

European Storm Forecast Experiment,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,http://www.estofex.org/

Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Sun 01 Jun 2014 06:00 to Mon 02 Jun 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Sun 01 Jun 2014 06:45
Forecaster: VAN DER VELDE
A level 2 was issued for northern Algeria mainly for large hail and severe convective wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for Ukraine, Belarus and Russia for large hail and excessive rain.

A level 1 was issued for NW Italy mainly for large hail.


In mid and upper levels a large cluster of low pressure areas is situated across Europe with cores near southern Spain, Adriatic Sea, western Ukraine, northern Germany, Turkey, northern Scandinavia and Ireland. The strongest lift and vertical wind shear are forecast across Algeria. At the surface level, a pronounced low is present over Ukraine, collocated with a zone of warm, humid air bounded by an occlusion front in the west and dry advancing air from Russia in the east. The largest CAPE values (>1000 J/kg) are reached over eastern Ukraine.
Slight CAPE is present elsewhere as indicated, and is weakly capped. 

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