vendredi 6 juin 2014

European Storm Forecast Experiment,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Sat 07 Jun 2014 06:00 to Sun 08 Jun 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Fri 06 Jun 2014 22:11
Forecaster: PUCIK
A level 1 was issued for England mainly for excessive precipitation, large hail and to the lesser degree for tornadoes and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for France and BENELUX mainly for large hail and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for Western Russia, Eastern Belarus Western Ukraine, and Northeastern Romania mainly for large hail and severe wind gusts.


A cyclonic vortex will remain located over the eastern Atlantic, with strong southerly flow simulated on its forward flank. An "EML" is advected towards the north (France, BENELUX, W Germany) from N Africa. A cut-off low will slowly translate from S Sweden towards the Baltic states during the forecast period. In between of these two aforementioned features, a ridge will stretch from the Mediterranean towards central Europe. There will be two foci for thunderstorm initiation - the first being in a belt from S France towards S England and the second being much larger, spanning much of Scandinavia towards the Balkans and Turkey. In between, more quiescent conditions should prevail.

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