DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014
VALID 112000Z - 121200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MID ATLANTIC INTO A
PORTION OF THE OH VALLEY...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS
INTO A SMALL PART OF THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH MAINLY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE
LIKELY THIS EVENING FROM ERN SD AND SWRN MN SOUTHWARD ACROSS
NEBRASKA...KANSAS...OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN TEXAS. SEVERE STORMS ARE
ALSO LIKELY ACROSS NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA...MUCH OF
VIRGINIA...MARYLAND...WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA WITH
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
...DISCUSSION...
ONLY MODEST CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO ONGOING FORECAST. IN THE EAST
HAVE EXPANDED THE SLIGHT RISK AREA FARTHER SOUTH INTO NORTH CAROLINA
TO ACCOUNT FOR CLUSTERING OF STORMS THAT DEVELOPED ALONG THE
SEABREEZE AND NOW MOVING NWD.
FARTHER WEST...HAVE TRIMMED BACK ON THE SLIGHT RISK ACROSS NRN MN
DUE TO LIMITED DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL NORTH OF WARM FRONT WHERE
WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS HAVE PERSISTED. STORMS ARE STILL
ON TRACK TO INTENSIFY OVER THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS THIS EVENING.
ACTIVITY SPREADING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CO MAY INTENSIFY AS IT
INTERCEPTS BETTER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ACROSS ERN CO AND WRN KS.
OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS WRN TX ALONG THE
DRYLINE. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY INITIATE ALONG THE SEWD MOVING COLD
FRONT ACROSS NEB. MCS DEVELOPMENT IS STILL EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF
KS AND OK TONIGHT. DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS.
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