mercredi 15 octobre 2014

European Storm Forecast Experiment

Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Wed 15 Oct 2014 06:00 to Thu 16 Oct 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Tue 14 Oct 2014 20:41
Forecaster: PUCIK
A level 1 was issued for Portugal mainly for excessive precipitation.

A level 2 was issued for parts of central Italy and the Adriatics mainly for large to very large hail, excessive precipitation and to the lesser degree for tornadoes and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 surrounding level 2s was issued mainly for excessive precipitation, large hail and to the lesser degree for tornadoes and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for SW Hungary and E Croatia mainly for marginally large hail and marginally severe wind gusts.

SYNOPSIS

Satellite loops reveal major low pressure system centered over the Atlantic, which will further reinforce WAA over much of Europe in the following days. Beyond this low, situation over Europe is quite diverse with numerous disturbances embedded in the zonal flow.

Quite active pattern will continue especially over the Mediterranean, namely Italy and the Adriatics, where soundings reveal presence of steep lapse rates and at the same time, moderate to strong vertical wind shear. 

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