samedi 18 octobre 2014

European Storm Forecast Experiment

Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Sat 18 Oct 2014 06:00 to Sun 19 Oct 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Fri 17 Oct 2014 14:26
Forecaster: PISTOTNIK
A level 1 was issued for Ireland, Ulster and W Scotland for tornadoes and severe wind gusts.


A pronounced long-wave ridge builds over Central Europe with an axis from Algeria to Sweden. It is flanked by two long-wave troughs which sit over the eastern Atlantic Ocean and amplify over far-eastern Europe into Turkey, respectively. At the surface, a filling sub-970-hPa cyclone to the northwest of Ireland and a building 1025 hPa anticyclone centered over Belarus are the corresponding pressure features.
Strong warm air advection spreads into southwestern and central Europe, while polar air rushes southward over far-eastern Europe. Cooler, drier air from the north also pushes the reservoir of plentiful CAPE over the eastern Mediterranean Sea out of our forecast domain.

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