mardi 28 avril 2015

European Storm Forecast Experiment

Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Wed 29 Apr 2015 06:00 to Thu 30 Apr 2015 06:00 UTC
Issued: Tue 28 Apr 2015 20:39
Forecaster: PUCIK
A level 1 was issued for NW Russia mainly for severe wind gusts and tornadoes.


Europe will generally be under a broad area of low geopotentials during the forecast period with numerous embedded troughs. The most prominent one will quickly cross the Baltic States towards the continent, inducing cyclogenesis over the Baltic Sea and S Finland. Especially warm and cold front of the deepening low may serve as foci for severe weather over NW Russia and this region will be covered in more detail below. Otherwise, isolated to scattered DMC is forecast with the other troughs, especially in their cores, where cold mid-level temperatures induce steeper lapse rates. However, chances of severe weather in the other areas with possible DMC will be very low, not warranting any Lvl.

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