NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1217 PM CDT MON JUN 02 2014 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN NEBRASKA...NORTHERN KANSAS...SOUTHERN IOWA...NORTHERN MISSOURI AND WESTERN ILLINOIS... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL AND NRN PLAINS THROUGH THE MID-UPPER MS VALLEY AREAS... ...SUMMARY... NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS ARE FORECAST TUESDAY FROM A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGIONS. LARGE HAIL AND WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY. TORNADOES...SOME STRONG...WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ...SYNOPSIS... SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY NEAR THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL REACH THE GREAT BASIN/CENTRAL ROCKIES BY 12Z TUESDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL THEN MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER MS VALLEY OVERNIGHT. A STRONG UPPER JET WITH 60-70 KT AT 500 MB WILL ACCOMPANY THIS IMPULSE. AT THE SURFACE A FRONT WILL STALL FROM THE OH VALLEY WESTWARD INTO NEBRASKA WHILE A LEE CYCLONE DEEPENS OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS IN ASSOCIATION WITH INCREASING WESTERLIES ALOFT AND FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THIS FEATURE WILL THEN SHIFT EASTWARD ALONG THE BOUNDARY THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS TUESDAY NIGHT. TO THE SOUTH OF THE SURFACE LOW...A DRYLINE WILL SET UP ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
lundi 2 juin 2014
Day 2 Convective Outlook,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
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