
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1217 PM CDT MON JUN 02 2014
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN
NEBRASKA...NORTHERN KANSAS...SOUTHERN IOWA...NORTHERN MISSOURI AND
WESTERN ILLINOIS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL AND
NRN PLAINS THROUGH THE MID-UPPER MS VALLEY AREAS...
...SUMMARY...
NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS ARE FORECAST TUESDAY FROM A PORTION OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGIONS. LARGE
HAIL AND WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY. TORNADOES...SOME
STRONG...WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
...SYNOPSIS...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY NEAR THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL REACH THE
GREAT BASIN/CENTRAL ROCKIES BY 12Z TUESDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL THEN
MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE DAY AND
INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER MS VALLEY OVERNIGHT. A STRONG UPPER JET
WITH 60-70 KT AT 500 MB WILL ACCOMPANY THIS IMPULSE. AT THE SURFACE
A FRONT WILL STALL FROM THE OH VALLEY WESTWARD INTO NEBRASKA WHILE A
LEE CYCLONE DEEPENS OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS IN ASSOCIATION WITH
INCREASING WESTERLIES ALOFT AND FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE EJECTING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THIS FEATURE WILL THEN SHIFT EASTWARD ALONG THE
BOUNDARY THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS TUESDAY NIGHT. TO THE SOUTH OF
THE SURFACE LOW...A DRYLINE WILL SET UP ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
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