European Storm Forecast Experiment

Storm Forecast

Storm Forecast
Valid: Tue 03 Jun 2014 06:00 to Wed 04 Jun 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Mon 02 Jun 2014 20:59
Forecaster: GATZEN

A level 1 has been issued for north-western Russia and Estonia mainly for excessive precipitation, large hail, and tornadoes.

A level 1 has been issued for Latvia, central Belarus, and central Ukraine mainly for excessive precipitation and large hail.

A level 1 has been issued for western Turkey mainly for large hail.

SYNOPSIS

Broad low geopotential is still present across central Europe and extends well into the central Mediterranean, flanked by a Russian high and a ridge over the west Mediterranean. Ahead of the trough, an intense lifting short-wave trough travels into the Aegean on Tuesday.

Rather cold and dry air masses are present over most of Europe. Somewhat better moisture spreads into France and UK, but rich low-level moisture can be only found along a frontal boundary over eastern Europe as well as over the east Mediterranean. Given also rather weak lapse rates over most places, a calm forecast period is expected.Storm Forecast

Storm Forecast
Valid: Mon 02 Jun 2014 06:00 to Tue 03 Jun 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Sun 01 Jun 2014 18:02
Forecaster: PISTOTNIK

A level 1 was issued for Belarus and the Ukraine mainly for excessive precipitation and large hail.

SYNOPSIS

An extensive area of rather low pressure at all levels stretches from the British Isles across Central Europe and the Balkans to Turkey. It is flanked by a subtropical high to the Southwest and another blocking high over Russia.
Insolation gradually starts to heat the cool air masses over most of the European continent again. Dynamics are weak, and the last prominent surface cyclone is filling up while it regresses from the Western Ukraine into Northeastern Poland. The other noteworthy cyclones near Iceland and off the Libyan coast barely influence our forecast area.