dimanche 15 juin 2014

European Storm Forecast Experiment

Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Mon 16 Jun 2014 06:00 to Tue 17 Jun 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Sun 15 Jun 2014 21:24
Forecaster: PUCIK
A level 1 was issued for Southeastern Spain mainly for large hail and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for Eastern Algeria and Tunisia mainly for large hail and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for Italy and Western Balkans mainly for excessive precipitation, large hail and to the lesser extent for severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for Bulgaria and Southern Romania mainly for excessive precipitation.

SYNOPSIS

A ridge will persist over the Atlantic, with prevailing northerly flow at its forward flank covering much of western and central Europe. In such configuration, conditions will be too hostile for DMC in these regions. Chances for DMC will increase towards the south, where low-level moisture should be more abundant. At mid-levels a positively tilted trough will stretch from Scandinavia towards Central Iberia. Speaking of surface pressure pattern, a shallow low pressure system is simulated over the central Mediterranean with a diffuse frontal boundary. A cold-front will push from Scandinavia towards Russia especially towards the end of the forecast period.

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