vendredi 13 juin 2014

European Storm Forecast Experiment

Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Sat 14 Jun 2014 06:00 to Sun 15 Jun 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Sat 14 Jun 2014 00:14
Forecaster: TASZAREKT/GATZEN
A level 1 was issued for NW Italy and surroundings mainly for excessive precipitation, large hail and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for north-eastern Spain mainly for large hail and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for the central Mediterranean mainly for excessive precipitation and large hail.

A level 1 was issued for Ukraine/Russia border mainly for large hail, severe wind gusts and tornadoes.

A level 1 was issued for Greece, Albania, Macedonia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro and parts of Bulgaria mainly for excessive precipitation and large hail.

SYNOPSIS

Atlantic ridging supports a northerly flow over most of Europe. A polar trough that has moved into western Russia is associated with an intense short-wave trough axis extending from Belarus over Germany into France that will slowly dig southward. It will be located over southern France and the Alps on Saturday.

At lower levels, relatively dry air masses continue to spread south over Europe. Rich moisture remains to the south of the Alps and over the Mediterranean and Black Sea region. This moisture will partly overlap with steep lapse rates over the Mediterranean. Steep lapse rates will also evolve over the Alps in response to diurnal heating.

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