DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2014 VALID 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SRN AND ERN WI AND THE MIDWEST SWWD THROUGH THE LOWER MO VALLEY TO SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE HAIL AND WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO THIS EVENING FROM WISCONSIN SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS ILLINOIS...WESTERN INDIANA...EASTERN IOWA...MISSOURI...OKLAHOMA...SOUTHERN KANSAS AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. OTHER STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. ...SYNOPSIS... A STRONG UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND SOUTHEAST STATES AND EXTENDING NWD INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/SERN CANADA WILL LIMIT THE EWD MOVEMENT OF THE UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS TROUGH WILL TRACK NNEWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY TODAY AND REACH MANITOBA/NRN ONTARIO BY LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. PRIMARY SYNOPTIC LOW WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO OCCLUDE AS IT MOVES FROM ND INTO CANADA...WHILE A SECONDARY LOW/TRIPLE POINT TRACKS FROM NWRN IA INTO NRN WI/UPPER MI THIS AFTERNOON. A WARM FRONT INITIALLY EXTENDING SEWD INTO THE LOWER MO VALLEY WILL ADVANCE NEWD THROUGH ERN IA AND THE MIDWEST REACHING LAKE MICHIGAN INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY BY EARLY EVENING. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE EWD THROUGH THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES...WHILE THE TRAILING PORTION MOVES SLOWLY SSEWD INTO MO AND THROUGH ERN KS. A PORTION OF THE FRONT SHOULD STALL ACROSS NRN OK.
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