mercredi 30 juillet 2014

European Storm Forecast Experiment

Storm Forecast
Storm Forecast
Valid: Wed 30 Jul 2014 06:00 to Thu 31 Jul 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Tue 29 Jul 2014 22:23
Forecaster: PUCIK
A level 2 was issued for E Adriatics coastline mainly for excessive precipitation and to the lesser extent for tornadoes, severe wind gusts and large hail.

A level 2 was issued for SE Austria, SW Hungary, N Croatia and N Serbia mainly for excessive precipitation, large hail and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for parts of Italy, Serbia, Balkans mainly for excessive precipitation and to the lesser extent for large hail and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for parts of Germany, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Austria and N Hungary mainly for excessive precipitation.

SYNOPSIS

Main macrosynoptic feature will remain in the form of a deep mid to upper tropospheric low moving from N Italy towards Balkans during the forecast period. It is expected to deccelerate and gradually fill out towards the Thursday morning. Scattered to widespread thunderstorms are expected ahead of the progressing low and along the wavy frontal boundary in the unstable airmass. Towards the north, geopotential fields will be rather weak, but still scattered thunderstorms are expected in moist airmass in the belt from N Germany and Poland towards Hungary. Some activity is also expected over Scandinavia with WAA regime ongoing on the forward flank of the low over the Norwegian Sea.

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